National Hockey League

Articles focused on the games, players, and teams around the NHL.

Just like many of you, by this time in the middle of the summer I start itching for anything hockey. I was bored and had some spare time so I decided to put together my list of the top 100 forwards in the league. My Criteria: This list is based on the top 100 forwards at this very moment. It has nothing to do with potential and nothing to do with contracts, it is simply based on who I believe are the best forwards in the NHL at the moment, entering the 2019/2020 season. While the 2018/2019...
As of this season, Alexander Ovechkin must score 237 goals in order to better The Great One's all time goalscoring record. In this thread I do some back of the envelope calculations to estimate with what probability that will happen, and plot the results. Key assumptions: I assume that he will play 5 more seasons. One could of course assume more or fewer. There are two main sources of uncertainty with this calculation: how many games will he play, and at what rate will he score. In each...
After creating a trade thread for Jonas Brodin I came across some Minnesota fans who explained to me the direction Minnesota’s GM Fenton is likely headed and it had me wondering: Shouldn’t Minnesota be going into a full rebuild? Well lets take a closer look: Their top three point producers last year are 34 years old in Parise Staal and Suter (since they traded Granlund). Obviously I think Dumba could have contested if he stayed healthy. Then Koivu whos 35 was their sixth highest producer....
I know the series is over. I know we won, and the next series is coming up tonight, and this is mostly irrelevant now. But *something* happened on this play and it's been bugging me not understanding exactly what it was. Dougie Hamilton has his weaknesses, but he's not a quitter. And Rod Brind'Amour wouldn't accept what has been portrayed as happening on this play. Something about this was not ringing true for me. So I tried to put myself in Dougie's position and go through the video...
Motivation: As a Red Wings fan, I've experienced the entitlement of a team capable of staying competitive for over a decade, followed by the unfamiliar frustration of a team that's not used to being bad. My fanbase is split between those [rightfully] wanting to win games because of pro sports' competitive spirit and pride, and those [rightfully] wanting to tank for the chance at a better future. Notice I called both sides right: I don't blame the fans for their divide, but the system creates...
I previously ranked the top 10 players in the NHL at the midway mark of the season in an article here: Top 10 players at each position at the mid-way mark Now given that game 82 was played last night and the playoffs are still a few days away, it looks like the perfect time to re-rank all the players based on this season's body of work. So it is the top 10 centres, wingers defencemen and goalies with 4 honourable mentions (and no more) NOTE: this is going by their "listed positions" on...
I would like to share with you team rankings based on the ELO rating system. This is purely mathematical based on wins and losses. Each team has a score. That score increases or decreases based on wins and losses. The amount of change is based on the score of the opponent.
By request, cross-posting this to FBOH from a main board thread Hurricanes attendance trend in a series of images: This is of course a global view, which shows the overall "bottom out and rebound" trend that goes along with having not played a playoff game since 2009. But the real action is here, in per-game attendance: Just a bunch of squiggly lines, but I wanted to be sure we could see the raw data. Note that the red line is this season, and the blues go from dark to light as you go...
As I promised in the RFA/prospect write-up, UFA players from the KHL are also getting a write-up from me, so here it is. Although I must say that with UFAs it is much harder to make predictions, as it's almost impossible to guess the final destination, so a lot of stuff written here is just my personal view on things, take it with a good grain of salt. Let's start with some simple number: 12 UFA players moved from the KHL to the NHL in the last off-season. Some are doing fine, some have...
Currently, there are only 10 active players who have ever scored 100 points in a season: -Joe Thornton -Sidney Crosby -Alex Ovechkin -Evgeni Malkin -Connor McDavid -Patrick Kane -Nikita Kucherov -Claude Giroux -Nicklas Backstrom -Eric Staal However, with the increased scoring this year, there are several players currently on pace to score 100 for the first time: -Johnny Gaudreau (age 25) -Leon Draisaitl (23) -Nathan MacKinnon (23) -Mikko Rantanen (22) -Blake Wheeler (32) And a few others...
March is very soon upon us, and us armchair-GMs have now done our jobs: stressing over the moves the GMs of all our favourite teams have or have not made, causing us endless pain and terrifying the living daylights out of us. ‘Are we going to pay for the privilege of seeing Cody Ceci wear our crest?!’ is an example of a dreadful thought one could have had in the past few weeks. Previously, I’ve written about how expensive rentals rarely turn out to be worth the assets given up for them, and...
When seeing the hurricane speed with which the Lightning seems to be crashing into the playoffs, I wondered which team was the quickest to clinch the playoffs in the history of the NHL. Well, since 1942. I asked the question on Twitter, but there was no definite answer. If the mountain will not come to Muhammad, then Muhammad must go to the mountain, said Francis Bacon, and I obliged Here are the results: The earliest clinch of the playoffs belongs to the 1978/79 New York Islanders, 25...
Some of you may remember my 2017-18 WAR leaders thread last fall. I have been tinkering with the formula and values all season. One of the major differences is the incorporation of XG. Pretty happy with the formula for forwards now. Plugged the stats from this season in ( all data via Corsica) and these are the results. Keep in mind these are wins over an AVERAGE forward.... I haven't factored in replacement level yet. I added in the players points at time of data retrieval and the...
Just got curious and did a quick spreadsheet over coffee. It doesn't make a ton of difference overall, but when it does make a difference I think I like it. Like Chicago and Colorado, for example. And I like the fact that there's a little more separation between teams, but maybe that goes against the parity that the league wants.
The TDL is approaching, and all the trade discussion seems to revolve around mortgaging a team's future for rentals. Myself, I don't agree one bit with this approach; it is evident that buying at TDL is a prime example of the practice of buying high, and often times you won't get much bang for your buck. Below is a list of all the 'expensive' trade deadline rentals from 2015 to this date (this cutoff is based on my own knowledge of these trades; I don't want to review deals which I don't...
Who doesn't love chaos? I sure do, and it seems like for a long time, the NHL did too. It wasn't uncommon to see players finishing their careers in the 80s/90s/00s with 1000+ PIMS, but most of those guys never had much of a scoring touch, they were goons. Their job was to take penalties for the sake of physically intimidating the other team or just to cause pure chaos on the ice and hope that it benefited your team in the end. But there have been a few players in the history of the NHL...
This was inspired by a thread on another forum and the research done by another poster, but I think it merits some discussion. It doesn’t make sense that in the 11 years since Lowe was “fired” from the Oilers, three GM's have come through the door and almost all the moves look and feel indistinguishable from the GM before them. Some Bruins fans rip on Chai, but at a time he was an undisputed brilliant executive. But becoming....this? It doesn't make sense. After doing some research into...
Since we are (roughly) half-way through the season, I thought it would be a good time to see which players are the absolute "cream of the crop" for their positions (centre, wings, defense and goal). NOTE: this is going by their "listed positions" on NHL.com, not necessarily where they play the bulk of their ice-time. Centre McDavid MacKinnon Crosby Matthews Point Bergeron Scheifele Eichel Tavares Barkov HM: Monahan, Stamkos, Duchene, Lindholm Wing Kucherov Rantenen Gaudreau Ovechkin...
This is going to be about anyone from star players to solid players who aren't preforming up too scratch this season. This top 10 is in no particular order and is my personal opinion with analytics to back up my picks I figured this was a good time to do this because 1. Anze Kopitar After a dynamite 92 point season LA fans had to be expecting a little bit more from him but with just 27 points with just 9 goals in 41 games Kopitar hasn't been able to get the ball rolling all season also just...
Is Tampa Bay the best roster in the Cap era and possibly beyond that? I believe they definitely have a case for it. Breaking down the team: Kucherov: a top 3 winger in the league, no one will argue that. He's consistent and has tons of talent. 90-100 points Stamkos: a top sniper, elite talent, has regained form after a hard run of injuries, and is a 80-90 point guy. Point: an absolute steal for the lightning. Point keeps proving his value over and over and has proven many people wrong....
Just read the thread about the 2015 draft comparing it to the 2003 draft, both extraordinary but 2015 already looks to better with many players on track for Hall of Fame careers. So I went and looked at the 2003 draft, this class is now at 1000 games give or take 100 games so their careers are pretty much defined as they are close to retirement though there are some if they play 4-5 more years at a good level might make the difference. So who is Hall of Fame bound and who isn't? Here's who...
Since the league expanded from just 6 teams, which teams have been the most successful? IMO, the top 10 would be: 1. Montreal Canadiens: 10 cups; 11 finals - 82 total team/individual awards won Cup winning years (1968, 1969, 1971, 1973, 1976, 1977, 1978, 1979, 1986, 1993) 2. Pittsburgh Penguins: 5 cups; 6 finals - 76 total team/individual awards won Cup winning years (1991, 1992, 2009, 2016, 2017) 3. Edmonton Oilers: 5 cups; 7 finals - 59 total team/individual awards won Cup winning years...
I've had an idea about changing the offside rule for a while now - I can't remember exactly when I first had it, and I may have seen it somewhere else. If this has been proposed before, feel free to post a source so it can get credit. Essentially, what I am proposing is a dynamic blue-line, very similar to offside in soccer. The offside line would no longer always be the blue-line, but would instead be a line parallel to the blue-line located where the furthest back defender is. The...
List is made up on a combination of tangible stats (goals, assists, etc.) as well as underlying metrics (CF%, rel CF%, xGF%, etc.)
Alright everybody I wanna hear about how your players have been doing this season. Grade them/rank them/describe them; I don't care how you do it. For :flames: Johnny Gaudreau - A- he's been pretty standard, creating plays all the time. Sean Monahan - A- same as Gaudreau really, just finishing rather than creating. He looks stronger on the puck than before. Elias Lindholm - A better than I could have hoped for and much more skilled than I expected. He's the defensive conscience of the...
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