Data: NHL Goaltender Schedule Strength, 2018-19 regular season and playoffs

  1. Doctor No
    This is a standard feature on my site; although this represents the regular season, I had to wait until the Stanley Cup concluded because the power ratings (and therefore the average strengths) change during the playoffs.

    These are for the 2018-19 NHL regular season.

    AVGOSTR - average opponent strength, measured in goals/game. So someone like Jordan Binnington faced an average opponent 0.03 goals/game below average (basically an average opponent). These are weighted by minutes played, and do incorporate home ice advantage (it is harder to play on the road than at home).

    AVGOSPC - average opponent save percentage. This is what an average NHL goaltender's save percentage would be, facing the slate of opponents that the goaltender faced. (An easier way of looking at it is that it's 1 minus the average shooting percentage of the goaltender's opponents). This does not incorporate home ice advantage.

    TOPPCT - percentage of games (shots weighted) facing the top quartile of opponents. An average goaltender plays 25% of his games against the top quartile of opponents. For 2018-19, these teams are Tampa Bay, Boston, Calgary, Columbus, Toronto, NY Islanders, St. Louis, and Winnipeg (75% - since there are 31 teams, there are 7.75 "top quartile" teams).

    BOTPCT - percentage of games (shots weighted) facing the bottom quartile of opponents. For 2018-19, these teams are Los Angeles, Ottawa, Anaheim, New Jersey, Detroit, NY Rangers, Buffalo, and Edmonton (75%).

    HOMEPCT - percentage of games (shots weighted) played at home. An average goaltender plays 50% of games at home. Backups usually play less than 50% at home.

    NAME
    TEAM AVGOSTR AVGOSPCTOPPCTBOTPCTHOMEPCT
    Bernier JonathanDET 0.13 0.91030%14%31%
    Binnington JordanSTL (0.03) 0.91022%25%55%
    Bishop BenDAL (0.07) 0.91126%26%59%
    Blackwood MackenzieNJD 0.08 0.90732%14%46%
    Bobrovsky SergeiCBJ (0.01) 0.90923%24%51%
    Bow LandonDAL 0.79 0.90047%0%0%
    Boyle KevinANA (0.15) 0.91221%16%42%
    Allen JakeSTL 0.01 0.90919%23%41%
    Andersen FrederikTOR 0.04 0.90823%25%49%
    Anderson CraigOTT 0.06 0.90831%24%55%
    Bachman RichardVAN (0.15) 0.9220%0%0%
    Brossoit LaurentWPG (0.19) 0.9139%37%42%
    Budaj PeterLOS (0.13) 0.90234%42%58%
    Campbell JackLOS 0.05 0.90830%23%43%
    Comrie EricWPG (0.15) 0.9220%0%0%
    Condon MikeOTT 0.70 0.91279%0%0%
    Copley PheonixWSH (0.14) 0.91020%39%41%
    Crawford CoreyCHI (0.02) 0.91024%22%50%
    Daccord JoeyOTT (0.37) 0.9200%100%0%
    Darling ScottCAR 0.08 0.90737%13%64%
    Delia CollinCHI 0.10 0.90924%10%52%
    Dell AaronSJS 0.01 0.90931%24%31%
    Demko ThatcherVAN (0.13) 0.91123%32%54%
    DeSmith CaseyPIT (0.10) 0.91022%28%55%
    DiPietro MichaelVAN 0.06 0.8970%0%100%
    Domingue LouisTBL (0.13) 0.91012%38%38%
    Dubnyk DevanMIN (0.00) 0.91022%23%51%
    Elliott BrianPHI 0.02 0.90826%25%53%
    Fleury Marc-AndreVGK (0.10) 0.91022%29%54%
    Francouz PavelCOL 0.03 0.9120%0%52%
    Fulcher KadenDET (0.67) 0.9200%100%100%
    Georgiev AlexanderNYR 0.17 0.90740%15%43%
    Gibson ChristopherNYI (0.07) 0.9090%0%50%
    Gibson JohnANA (0.03) 0.91119%21%57%
    Greiss ThomasNYI 0.01 0.90920%26%54%
    Grubauer PhilippCOL (0.05) 0.91218%22%48%
    Halak JaroslavBOS (0.03) 0.90917%24%48%
    Hart CarterPHI (0.01) 0.90931%24%70%
    Hellebuyck ConnorWPG 0.04 0.90925%18%53%
    Hill AdenARI (0.00) 0.90719%33%45%
    Hogberg MarcusOTT 0.07 0.90929%0%71%
    Holtby BradenWSH 0.04 0.90930%23%54%
    Howard JimmyDET (0.02) 0.90728%29%61%
    Hutchinson MichaelFLO (0.31) 0.9050%52%31%
    Hutchinson MichaelTOR (0.15) 0.91620%20%80%
    Hutton CarterBUF 0.10 0.90630%18%51%
    Jarry TristanPIT 0.64 0.90951%0%0%
    Johnson ChadANA 0.17 0.90636%23%3%
    Johnson ChadSTL (0.12) 0.91112%12%76%
    Jones MartinSJS (0.07) 0.91120%28%57%
    Khudobin AntonDAL 0.04 0.90822%18%41%
    Kinkaid KeithNJD 0.05 0.90724%19%54%
    Korpisalo JoonasCBJ (0.03) 0.90821%37%48%
    Koskinen MikkoEDM 0.01 0.91023%25%49%
    Kuemper DarcyARI (0.05) 0.91023%25%51%
    Lagace MaximeVGK 0.41 0.9200%0%0%
    Lehner RobinNYI (0.04) 0.90825%29%47%
    Lindgren CharlieMON 0.22 0.900100%0%100%
    Lundqvist HenrikNYR (0.06) 0.91020%27%54%
    Luongo RobertoFLO 0.10 0.90733%26%44%
    Lyon AlexPHI (0.25) 0.9170%28%0%
    Markstrom JacobVAN (0.04) 0.90926%29%53%
    McElhinney CurtisCAR (0.04) 0.90927%30%54%
    McKenna MikeOTT 0.09 0.91027%16%33%
    McKenna MikePHI 0.47 0.8960%0%0%
    Miller RyanANA 0.06 0.90632%21%48%
    Miska HunterARI (0.40) 0.9100%100%0%
    Montembeault SamuelFLO (0.04) 0.91421%30%51%
    Mrazek PetrCAR 0.00 0.90727%29%45%
    Murray MattPIT 0.02 0.90830%28%49%
    Nedeljkovic AlexCAR (0.21) 0.9150%0%0%
    Neuvirth MichalPHI 0.32 0.90639%18%32%
    Niemi AnttiMON (0.08) 0.91113%36%38%
    Nilsson AndersOTT (0.05) 0.91021%28%45%
    Nilsson AndersVAN 0.25 0.90523%8%33%
    Pasquale EdwardTBL 0.24 0.91233%36%0%
    Petersen CalvinLOS 0.03 0.91025%17%31%
    Pickard CalvinARI 0.27 0.90736%5%26%
    Pickard CalvinPHI 0.03 0.90429%35%37%
    Price CareyMON 0.02 0.90732%27%52%
    Quick JonathanLOS (0.01) 0.91019%20%58%
    Raanta AnttiARI (0.07) 0.90922%35%59%
    Rask TuukkaBOS (0.03) 0.90830%33%52%
    Reimer JamesFLO (0.04) 0.90828%29%59%
    Rinne PekkaNSH (0.04) 0.90926%26%54%
    Rittich DavidCGY (0.06) 0.91017%29%46%
    Saros JuuseNSH 0.06 0.91024%15%42%
    Schneider CoryNJD (0.04) 0.90929%36%47%
    Smith MikeCGY (0.07) 0.91120%22%55%
    Sparks GarretTOR (0.13) 0.90926%44%45%
    Stalock AlexMIN 0.09 0.90938%21%48%
    Stolarz AnthonyEDM 0.05 0.90554%22%71%
    Stolarz AnthonyPHI (0.05) 0.90634%40%32%
    Subban MalcolmVGK 0.07 0.90728%22%42%
    Talbot CameronEDM (0.02) 0.90920%17%50%
    Talbot CameronPHI 0.10 0.9160%28%16%
    Ullmark LinusBUF (0.07) 0.91027%31%49%
    Varlamov SemyonCOL 0.01 0.90830%23%51%
    Vasilevski AndreiTBL (0.02) 0.90929%24%58%
    Ward CamCHI 0.01 0.91029%28%50%

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